Water level predictions from
coupled MM5-ADCIRC models running at 12 km and reduced-resolution,
respectively. The Stony Brook MM5 model, a mesoscale weather forecasting
model, produces 60 hour predictions in about 120 minutes, twice a day. Wind
speed and sea-level pressure predictions are then used to drive the ADCIRC
storm surge ocean model over the same 60 hour period. The routine repeats
every 12 hours, updating the forecasts.
Times are shown in Eastern
Standard Time. The Stony Brook
Storm Surge Research Group is developing a real-time weather and ocean storm
surge prediction system which can be used for a variety of purposes. Such
uses include hurricane and nor 'easter flooding predictions and alerts,
water quality and effluent dispersion, the feasibility of building storm
surge barriers to protect the New York Metropolitan region from storm damage
and coastal flooding in an era of global climate change and rising sea
level. |